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20250719 - causal hypothesis
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writing.Rmd

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@@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ For guidance on how to do this in Microsoft Word, see [here](https://wordribbon.
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1. Provide and interpret effect sizes (e.g., *r*s, *d*s, betas), and not just statistical significance.
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1. Report numbers to two decimal places; report *p*-values to three decimal places; report percentages to one decimal place.
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1. Know the difference between a "hypothesis" and a "prediction"—and use them correctly.
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A hypothesis is a proposed explanation.
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A hypothesis is a proposed explanation; it specifies the causal relation between processes.
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A prediction is "the expected result of a test that is derived, by deduction, from a hypothesis or theory" ([Eastwell, 2014](https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ1057150.pdf); archived at https://perma.cc/8EX4-8JYN).
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Here is an example of a hypothesis and the resulting prediction:
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